美官方數據證實諾獎聯名信偽造疫情

作者：直言了

來源：轉基因觀察

由羅伯茲發動的諾獎者聯名信為推銷黃金大米而陳述了維生素A缺乏症疫情，說：The World Health Organization estimates that 250 million people， suffer from VAD， including 40 percent of the children under five in the developing world. Based on UNICEF statistics， a total of one to two million preventable deaths occur annually as a result of VAD， because it compromises the immune system， putting babies and children at great risk. VAD itself is the leading cause of childhood blindness globally affecting 250，000 - 500，000 children each year. Half die within 12 months of losing their eyesight. （摘錄完）。

羅伯茲做法跟其他挺轉幫做法一樣，不給數據來源連接。不管他怎麼做，美國衛生部發布文章數據說明維生素A缺乏症比例明顯下降（沒用黃金大米），證實羅伯茲是偽造數據和偽造疫情。該原文摘錄如下：

Trends and mortality effects of vitamin A deficiency in children in 138 low-income and middle-income countries between 1991 and 2013:

a pooled analysis of population-based surveys.

Stevens GA1， ……。Lancet Glob Health. 2015 Sep;3（9）:e528-36. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X（15）00039-X.

Abstract:

FINDINGS:

In 1991， 39% （95% credible interval 27-52） of children aged 6-59 months in low-income and middle-income countries were vitamin A deficient. In 2013， the prevalence of deficiency was 29% （17-42; posterior probability [PP] of being a true decline=0?81）.

Vitamin A deficiency significantly declined in east and southeast Asia and Oceania from 42% （19-70） to 6% （1-16; PP>0?99）; a decline in Latin America and the Caribbean from 21% （11-33） to 11% （4-23; PP=0?89） also occurred.

In 2013， the prevalence of deficiency was highest in sub-Saharan Africa （48%; 25-75） and south Asia （44%; 13-79）. 94?500 （54?200-146?800） deaths from diarrhoea and 11?200 （4300-20?500） deaths from measles were attributable to vitamin A deficiency in 2013， which accounted for 1?7% （1?0-2?6） of all deaths in children younger than 5 years in low-income and middle-income countries. More than 95% of these deaths occurred in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia.

INTERPRETATION:

Vitamin A deficiency remains prevalent in south Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Deaths attributable to this deficiency have decreased over time worldwide， and have been almost eliminated in regions other than south Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. This new evidence for both prevalence and absolute burden of vitamin A deficiency should be used to reconsider， and possibly revise， the list of priority countries for high-dose vitamin A supplementation such that a country"s priority status takes into account both the prevalence of deficiency and the expected mortality benefits of supplementation.

通過那文獻可看到，有效防治維他命A的顯著成績並非來自轉基因作物譬如轉基因黃金大米，而是來自現有食品補劑。

此外，聯合國UNICEF及其引用的世衛組織數據也說明羅伯茲偽造疫情數據。譬如，聯合國機構說的44%/48%疫情比例是集中在兩個地區「the highest rates in sub-Saharan Africa （48 per cent） and South Asia and South Asia （44 per cent）」的數字，見下：

Two regions have achieved effective coverage with vitamin A supplements in 2014。

Updated: Apr 2016。

http://data.unicef.org/nutrition/vitamin-a.html

Vitamin A deficiency is the leading cause of preventable childhood blindness and increases the risk of death from common childhood illnesses such as diarrhea. Periodic， high-dose vitamin A supplementation is a proven， low-cost intervention[1] which has been shown to reduce all-cause mortality by 12 to 24 per cent[2]， and is therefore an important programme in support of efforts to reduce child mortality. The World Health Organization has classified vitamin A deficiency as a public health problem affecting about one third of children aged 6 to 59 months in 2013， with the highest rates in sub-Saharan Africa （48 per cent） and South Asia and South Asia （44 per cent）.

As supplementation is a key child survival intervention， discussions of progress focus largely on coverage of that intervention. Despite the potential benefits， only 69 per cent of targeted children were reached in 2014. The good news is that integrated child health events have helped support high coverage of vitamin A supplementation in 2014 in a large number of least developed countries， where the need is often greatest.

可羅伯茲搞的聯名信卻把兩個局部數據擴大為整個發展中國家的整體數據。作為發展中國家，中國在防治維他命A缺乏症方面取得了顯著成績。就是說，為推銷轉基因黃金大米，羅伯茲用偽造疫情數據而對中國政府和中國人民搞造謠污衊。

說明：羅伯茲鼓動聯名信所推銷的轉基因黃金大米，至今沒有任何國家批准上市。羅伯茲所在國家不吃轉基因黃金大米，而諾獎故鄉瑞典則是拒絕轉基因食品。若是好東西，他們自己為什麼不吃甚至拒絕商業化上市呢？誠如有網民所說：若推銷者不吃他們推銷的東西，那就涉嫌欺騙。執政黨說，群眾的眼光是雪亮的。如此，別說百名諾獎者搞那簽名可，就是全體簽名、欺騙還是欺騙，最終也瞞不過人民。

說明：學刊已經撤掉黃金大米論文，見下：

Retractions.

AJCN. First published ahead of print July 29， 2015 as doi: 10.3945/ajcn.114.093229.

http://ajcn.nutrition.org/content/early/2015/07/29/ajcn.114.093229.full.pdf+html

Retraction of Tang G， Hu Y， Yin S-a， Wang Y， Dallal GE， Grusak MA， and Russell RM. b-Carotene in Golden Rice is as good as b-carotene in oil at providing vitamin A to children. Am J Clin Nutr 2012;96:658–64.

The article cited above， which was originally published in the September 2012 issue and prepublished on 1 August 2012， has been retracted by the publisher for the following reasons:

1. The authors are unable to provide sufficient evidence that the study had been reviewed and approved by a local ethics committee in China in a manner fully consistent with NIH guidelines. Furthermore， the engaged institutions in China did not have US Federal Wide Assurances and had not registered their Institutional Review Board （or Ethics Review Committee）.

2. The authors are unable to substantiate through ｄｏｃｕｍｅｎｔary evidence that all parents or children involved in the study were provided with the full consent form for the study.

3. Specific eligibility issues were identified in regard to 2 subjects in the study.

This retraction was prepublished online on 29 July 2015.

以上故事再次說明，轉基因食品及其商業推銷充滿了欺騙，就是諾獎獲得者在金錢利益面前也搞偽造數據和欺騙活動。由此，不奇怪，美國一些媒體把那個聯名信入選為「垃圾科學」。同時，就在那聯名信在中國一些媒體大轟大嗡之際，在美國，關於轉基因食品標識的地方州法規生效，意味著美國在淘汰轉基因農業的道路上又邁進一步。這個進展說明，再來一萬個諾獎簽字也挽救不了轉基因農業被淘汰的命運。

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