3P逐鹿巴基斯坦，誰能問鼎天下？
先解釋下3P
PML——PAKISTAN MUSLIM LEAGUE
巴基斯坦穆斯林聯盟
PPP—— PAKISTAN PEOPLE"S PARTY
巴基斯坦人民黨
PTI——PAKISTAN TEHRIK-E-INSAF PARTY
巴基斯坦正義運動黨
巴基斯坦今天大選，我們來看看主要三大的候選人以及他們的黨派。
Shahbaz Sharif ,PAKISTAN MUSLIM LEAGUE, PML
Shahbaz 的老哥Nawaz以及本月剛剛進了監獄，老弟出來應戰。PML我排第一，因為他們是巴基斯坦最資深的派別，印巴分治那會子就成立了。幾十年來謝里夫家族掌管著巴基斯坦的政治、經濟命脈。Nawaz的女兒穿得起3000美金的香奈兒絲巾，被PTI窮追猛打，PTI也以此為政治宣講口號——建立新的巴基斯坦，還巴基斯坦廉政。
Shahbaz Sharif took over as chief of Pakistan Muslim League party after the Supreme Court last July ousted his elder brother and then-Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif from office on charges of corruption . I list PML as top one as this party is founded before the separation of Indian and Pakistan. Nawaz Sharif and his daughter, who can afford a 3000 USD Chanel scarf, are always criticized by PTI.
Nawaz兩次當選最繁華富饒的Punjab地區的部長，Punjab地區居住著巴基斯坦2億人口的60%，根基可以說是相當的龐大。
Shahbaz was twice chief minister in Punjab province which is the richest province of Pakistan, where 60 percent of Pakistan"s 200 million people live, you can say PML has the strongest roots.
現在Nawaz老頭兒和他的女兒一起在監獄裡面蹲著，老爸10年監禁，女兒7年。
The old man Nawaz and his daughter are now in jail appealing a 10-year and 7-year prison term for corruption.
PML長期站首位，不是沒有原因的——軍方的支持。在巴基斯坦有些專門為軍方人士設立的小區——DHA，這些房子的建造都是治黨出錢給的，誰拿著槍子誰就戰力首位。
There is a reason that PML occupied Pakistan for years——supported by Pakistan"s powerful military. In Pakistan, there is DHA, specifically designed for the military people for free, who won military, who will win Pakistan.
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IMRAN KHAN, TEHRIK-E-INSAF PARTY，PTI
前板球隊的隊長。無數的年輕人期待著他成為PM，給巴基斯坦注入新的血液，結束家族式的政治，畢竟巴基斯坦是號稱民主國家的，不能是世襲。但他最大的對手就是我排名第一的PML。
Former cricket player. He is expected by many youngster to be the next prime minister to bring fresh blood to Pakistan, end the era of family politician, after all, Pakistan is known as a democratic country and can not be hereditary. But Khan faces his stiffest competition from the Pakistan Muslim League
Khan先生在他的球員生涯里獲得了花花公子的稱號，不惑之年娶了21歲的英國名媛，後來離婚，結婚，又離婚，現在又結婚，娶了個婚前他都沒見過長啥樣的神婆，從花花公子到保守的教徒，變化也是蠻大的。
Mr.Khan acquired a reputation as a playboy during his cricket career, after 40 he married a 21 years old British socialite, but divorce later, then remarry, again divorce, then married a women whom he never see her face til after marriage. From play boy to conservative, huge change.
他表示支持塔利班式的司法制度，並與激進的宗教領袖站在一起。
He expressed support for a Taliban-style justice system and aligned himself with radical religious leaders.
PTI從1996年成立，但到了2013年才嶄露頭角，建立了大片江山。Khan先生經常以貪污腐敗來撕逼PML。由於Khan先生的背景在KPK，那裡住著極端保守的人，因此被廣泛認為是武裝軍事力量的首選。
Khan"s party, which he founded in 1996, did not made a strong showing until 2013, Khan has been a strident critic of Nawaz Sharif with the accuse of corruption. Due to Khan』s back ground is KPK, so he is widely seen as a preferred choice of the military.
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BILAWAL BHUTTO ZARDARI, PAKISTAN PEOPLE"S PARTY, PPP
PPP的候選人Bilawal ，29歲，用扎卡說的話，就是個娘娘腔，無多大本事，但家世顯赫，家族歷史豐富。根基在信德省，其母親Benazir兩次做了PM，但2007年他的母親被刺後，這個PPP就逐漸衰落了。老爹做過總統5年總統，直到2013下野，是著名的Mr.百分之十（所有的東西都要貪污百分之十）。
他的家族顯赫，卻也充滿了悲劇，外公被絞死，母親和兩個舅舅都被暗殺，只有一個沒有參與政治居住在英國的姨媽幸免於難。
PPP candidate Bilawal, 29, quote Zaka』s words——lady boy. He did no much contribution, but has a impressive family history. His political strength lies in Sindh province. His mother Benazir Bhotto, served as prime minister twice, the party"s fortunes have dwindled since his mother"s assassination in 2007. his dad served as Pakistan"s president for five years until 2013 (the well-known Mr. 10%).
His family has glories name, however also been dogged by tragedy. His grandpa hanged. Both mamu were killed by unknown assailants. His only surviving auntie, lives in Britain and has stayed out of politics.
Bilawal 這個奶油小生非常努力的到處參加集會，想讓自己家的治黨重回輝煌，但終將是無力乏天的樣子。
Bilawal Bhutto has tried to revive the party"s dwindled popularity by leading rallies here and there. But sames there is nothing he can do.
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問題來了，3P逐鹿巴基斯坦，誰能問鼎？
我個人覺得PML能有望繼續當選，PTI繼續當炮灰，PPP則陪跑。
原因：PML非常強大，根基穩定，這些年的黃線藍線工程也是做的很長臉。PTI領導人日落西山，65歲了，離婚結婚離婚的經驗讓他的光輝大打折扣，更加上Ayesha的性侵指責，二妻Rehan的新書的八卦更讓他雪上加霜。PPP么，輝煌已過了，又沒個強大得了的左膀右臂，小Bila終究是太嫩了。
Here is the question, 3P chasing, who will win? Tomorrow we will see the result.
IMO,PMLwill keep their flag, PTI stay as cannon fodder, PPP, just accompanying the others.
Reason: PML holds the strongest root, the yellow line, blue line projects bring a good name to them. As PTI, 65, how I wish the old sun would rise. 3 marriage splashed black dots to his reputation, plus Ayesha Gulaila』s accusation of sexual assault, second wife Rehem』s gossip on her new book. About PPP, the withered flowers will not bloom again, without any capable assistant, little Bila is just too young too naive.
TAG:大鬍子在Pakistan |