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梅姨今天卸任,誰將接替她?

依然未知。

自三年前臨危受命,接過卡梅倫的班(guo),英國首相特雷莎·梅就一直在既要退群又不得不在群里再呆一段日子的尷尬和無奈里度過。5月24日梅姨宣布將於6月7日也就是今天辭職,結束她這動蕩的三年首相任期。

很多人以為從今天起梅姨就不再當首相了,其實並不是。

Theresa May steps down as Conservative Party leader on 7 June, but not as prime minister.She will carry on governing the country and fulfilling her official duties until a successor is chosen.The Conservative leadership contest will begin formally the week after she steps down - on 10 June.

特蕾莎·梅於6月7日辭去保守黨領袖一職,而非首相。她會一直工作到選出新首相為止。保守黨領袖角逐將在她卸任後6月10日這周正式開始。

Theresa May steps down as Conservative Party leader on 7 June, but not as prime minister (via Independent)

據外媒報道,保守黨宣布將在7月22日開始的一周內選出新黨魁,以接替特雷莎·梅的黨內職位以及英國首相職務。據悉,首輪投票將於6月13日開始,預計新首相人選將在7月26日出爐。

角逐首相一職的人到底有哪些呢?已確認的競選者有11名,英國媒體按照其脫歐意願的強烈程度分了個類,我們一起來認識一下。

強硬脫歐派 Extremely Brexity

1. 鮑里斯·約翰遜(Boris Johnson)

54歲,曾任倫敦市長、英國外交大臣。

頂著標誌性雞窩頭的鮑里斯目前是最熱門人選,前幾日還得到了美國總統特朗普的加持。不過即便這樣,該拒絕的還是要拒絕,這不,面對特朗普的會面邀請,他以「要去參加競選活動」為由拒絕了。這任性程度,難怪有外媒稱他是「泰晤士河上的特朗普」(Trump on the Thames)。

Trump on the Thames? The voluble, mop-topped journalist–turned–London mayor–turned–foreign minister, who got an endorsement from Donald Trump this week, is currently the front-runner, according to most pundits and betting markets. He says he will try to negotiate a new withdrawal agreement with the EU before Oct. 31 but will pull Britain out of the EU on that date, with a deal or without one. As a leading campaigner for Leave during the original Brexit referendum who quit May』s Cabinet over disagreements about her withdrawal agreement, he is considered an arch Brexiteer, though his views on other social and economic issues are a bit more moderate than others in that camp.

泰晤士河上的特朗普?口齒伶俐、頂著雞窩頭的鮑里斯曾當過記者、倫敦市長和外交部長,本周還得到了特朗普的支持。大多數專家和博彩市場人士認為,目前他是領跑者。他表示會試圖在10月31日之前與歐盟談判一項新的脫歐協議,一旦日子到了,不管有沒有協議,他都會帶領英國脫歐。作為最初英國脫歐公投期間的主要推手,鮑里斯日前因與特蕾莎·梅就脫歐協議產生分歧而退出內閣。儘管他在其他社會和經濟問題上的觀點比其他脫歐派溫和一些,但依然被視為脫歐派的中流砥柱。

Johnson is extremely popular with the party rank-and-file, so he will almost certainly win if he makes it to the final two. Unfortunately for him, many of his colleagues hate him.

約翰遜在普通黨員中非常受歡迎,所以如果他能晉級兩強,幾乎可以說穩了。不幸的是,他的許多同事都恨他。

Who Will Replace Theresa May as Prime Minister? (via slate.com)

2. 安德烈婭·利德索姆(Andrea Leadsom)

56歲,曾任英國能源與氣候變化部負責能源事務大臣,前下議院領袖和南安普敦郡國會議員。

在2016年的保守黨選舉中,安德烈婭的選票僅次於梅姨。不過當時她的言論可是引起了不小的爭議。她利用「沒有孩子」這點來攻擊梅姨,她說,比起無兒無女的梅姨,有孩子的她更有優勢,更能影響國家的未來。

The former Commons leader has said she would take Britain out of the EU on 31 October with a "managed exit". She called the current deal with Brussels "dead" but vowed to pass mini-deals keeping certain "arrangements in place". The idea has previously been vetoed by the EU"s chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier.

這位前下議院領袖表示,她將於10月31日以「井井有條的脫歐」方式將英國帶出歐盟。她稱目前與布魯塞爾達成的協議「已死」,許諾要通過一些小協議,以使某些「安排到位」。此前這一想法曾被歐盟首席英國脫歐談判代表米歇爾·巴尼耶否決。

3. 多米尼克·雷尼·拉布 (Dominic Rennie Raab)

45歲,前英國脫歐事務大臣。

Raab, who was theoretically overseeing May』s negotiations with the EU, quit in protest after May released her withdrawal agreement in November. (He confusingly later voted for it as an MP.) His current line on Brexit is similar to Johnson』s—he will try to renegotiate the withdrawal agreement but is prepared to leave without a deal if he can』t.

理論上拉布是要一直監督梅與歐盟的談判的,但他去年11月梅公布脫歐協議後宣布辭職,以示抗議。(令人困惑的是,後來作為國會議員時他又投了贊成票。)目前他對英國脫歐的立場與約翰遜的相似,他將試圖重新商談脫歐協議,但如果無法達成,就會無協議脫歐。

Who Will Replace Theresa May as Prime Minister? (via slate.com)

4. 艾斯特·麥克維(Esther McVey)

51歲,前就業及退休保障大臣。

The former work and pensions secretary is the candidate most in favour of no deal. "The only way to deliver the referendum result is to actively embrace leaving the EU without a deal," she has said. Mrs McVey has insisted the "invisible border" between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland would be able to be implemented by the October deadline.

這位前就業及退休保障大臣是最支持無協議脫歐的競選人。她說:「實現公投結果的唯一途徑是積極接受無協議脫歐。」麥克維夫人堅稱,北愛爾蘭和愛爾蘭共和國之間的「無形邊界」能在10月份的最後期限前實現。

溫和脫歐派 Somewhat Brexity

5. 邁克爾·戈夫(Michael Gove)

51歲,英國環境大臣。

The environment secretary, who was a prominent member of the Leave campaign in the lead-up to the referendum, has warned that no deal on 31 October would trigger a general election. He is prepared to delay Brexit until late 2020, according to the Telegraph.

這位環境部長是公投前倡導脫歐的重要成員,他警告說,10月31日無協議脫歐的話會引發大選。據《每日電訊報》報道,他準備將脫歐推遲到2020年底。

6. 傑里米·亨特(Jeremy Hunt)

52歲,曾擔任英國文化大臣、衛生大臣,現任英國外交大臣。

這位外交大臣對很多人來說可能並不陌生,因為他是「中國女婿」。然而他曾經在訪華時將中國妻子稱為「日本人」的嚴重口誤可是得罪了不少人。

He wants to create a new UK negotiating team made up of all sides of the Conservative Party, and its confidence-and-supply partner the DUP, to change the withdrawal agreement. The EU has so far said the deal on the table is not up for renegotiation. The foreign secretary says anyone promising they would take Britain out of the EU with no deal would be blocked by parliament. He has called no deal "political suicide".

他想要重組一個脫歐談判團隊以改變退出協議,團隊會包括保守黨各方及其合作夥伴民主統一黨。歐盟已經表示,不會再對目前正在討論的這項協議進行重新談判。這位外交大臣說,議會不會接納支持無協議脫歐的人。他認為無協議脫歐無異於「政治自殺」。

7. 賽義德·賈維德(Sajid Javid)

49歲,內政大臣。

Javid was an extremely lukewarm Remainer during the referendum but is now thought of as a Brexiteer. He』s in the leave-on-Oct.-31-no-matter-what camp and advocates preparing for a no-deal. Javid, the son of Pakistani immigrants who would be the U.K.』s first nonwhite prime minister, was considered a top-tier candidate early on, but his star has faded. He has recently defended the decision to strip the citizenship of a teenager who traveled to Syria to marry an ISIS fighter.

在公投時,賈維德是一個非常不溫不火的留歐派,但現在被認為是脫歐派。他加入「無論如何10月31日都要脫歐」的陣營,並主張為無協議做好準備。賈維德是巴基斯坦移民的兒子,他很早就被認為是一位頂級候選人,如當選,他將會成為英國第一位非白人首相。但最近他的明星光環已經黯然失色。因為最近他剝奪了一名前往敘利亞與ISIS戰士結婚的少女的公民身份,此事引起不小爭議。

Who Will Replace Theresa May as Prime Minister? (via slate.com)

8. 馬特·漢考克(Matt Hancock)

40歲,衛生大臣。

Matt Hancock, who is a different person than Mark Harper, wants to get the U.K. out of the EU by Oct. 31 but is against a no-deal Brexit. He has a somewhat more detailed plan than his competitors, involving a comprehensive free-trade deal with Europe and forming an 「Irish border council」 to help resolve the status of the border. He』s been praised by the Guardian for having 「the seemingly basic virtues of being apparently competent and broadly similar to a normal human being.」

馬特·漢考克與下面的馬克·哈珀不同,他希望在10月31日之前能脫歐,但反對無協議脫歐。比起競爭對手,他的計劃更詳細,包括與歐洲達成一項全面的自由貿易協議,成立一個「愛爾蘭邊界委員會」來幫助解決邊界問題。《衛報》稱讚他「看起來具有能擔重任的基本美德,而且很像個正常人。」

Who Will Replace Theresa May as Prime Minister? (via slate.com)

9. 馬克·哈珀(Mark Harper)

49,前議會多數黨領袖。

Mark Harper, who is definitely not Matt Hancock, was not in the Cabinet during the time Brexit was negotiated. He stepped down as immigration minister in 2014 when it turned out his house cleaner did not have a valid visa, then served as disabilities minister for less than a year.The former accountant backed Remain in 2016 and hasn』t ruled out no-deal but says he will ask for a 「short, focused extension」 past Oct. 31, calling proposals to negotiate a new deal before then unrealistic. They are unrealistic, but it seems like no one really wants to hear that right now.

馬克·哈珀絕對不是馬特·漢考克,在英國脫歐談判期間,他都不在內閣。2014年,因他家的清潔工被發現沒有有效簽證,他辭去了移民部長一職,然後擔任了不到一年的殘障事務部長。曾經做過會計師的他在2016年是留歐派,目前他也沒有排除無協議的可能,他說會要求在10月31日之後能有一個「短暫集中的延長期」,並呼籲在那之前談判一項新協議是不現實的。的確是不現實的,但目前似乎沒人想聽這一點。

Who Will Replace Theresa May as Prime Minister? (via slate.com)

不情願脫歐派 Not very Brexity

10. 羅里·斯圖爾特 (Rory Stewart)

46歲,國際發展大臣。

He was given his first Cabinet role in May and almost immediately began campaigning for prime minister. He was a Remainer in 2016 who then became an enthusiastic public advocate (sometimes too enthusiastic) for May』s withdrawal agreement. He opposes a no-deal Brexit and has said he wouldn』t work under Johnson because of the latter』s stance on the issue.

他是今年5月新晉的內閣成員,然後就幾乎立馬開始競選首相了。2016年他是留歐派,後來成為梅姨脫歐協議的熱情倡導者(有時過於熱情)。他反對無協議脫歐,並明確表示他不會為約翰遜工作,因為兩人立場相左。

Who Will Replace Theresa May as Prime Minister? (via slate.com)

11. 山姆·吉瑪(Sam Gyimah)

42歲,前大學部長。

Gyimah, who on Sunday became the most recent candidate to join the race, is the only one openly backing a second referendum on Brexit and says he would vote to remain. Gyimah, a former investment banker who spent much of his childhood in his parents』 native Ghana, quit May』s Cabinet in November over objections to her Brexit plan. Given that much of the party is so opposed to a second referendum that May had to step down for even suggesting one, it seems unlikely Gyimah』s candidacy is going anywhere.

吉瑪周日才宣布競選,是唯一一個支持二次公投的人,他說自己會投留歐一票。此前,吉瑪是一位投資銀行家。他童年的大部分時間都在他父母的祖國迦納度過。去年11月,由於反對梅的脫歐計劃,他退出了內閣。鑒於該黨的大部分成員如此反對第二次公投,以至於提出這個建議的梅都不得不下台,所以吉瑪的競選之路可想而知了。

Who Will Replace Theresa May as Prime Minister? (via slate.com)

Hmmm, 看看英國退歐的速度,也不知道這新首相能不能按時選出來。

你覺得下一任英國首相會是誰?

文:A君

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